Friday 24 May 2013

Stock Performance of Petroleum Companies in India

Study on Financial Performance of HPCL and BPCL Companies in India



Financial Analysis of Two Key Players in Oil and Gas Industry in India


Case Studies on Hindustan Petroleum Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited





Rationale for the Study
The comparison will provide an opportunity to learn different strategies in addressing the challenge of credit, stock performance and risk management. The study will be conducted and confined to two oil.  However, it is humbly submitted that there is ample scope for further research and refinement in the subject.

OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
 
-      - To compare and analyze 3 years data of two mega profit making companies within the same industry on the different capital structure employed by them at varied costs.

 -  To study the case of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd a sincere attempt has been made to study performance of these differently leveraged capital structure companies and their financial management prerogatives.  
              
         -    To construct new refineries or expand the capacity of its existing refineries.
 
   HYPOTHESIS OF STUDY:
Two hypotheses are tested in this study.
· There is a significant relationship between high growth and Market Value of a stock.
 
· There is a significant relationship between growth momentum and Market Value of a stock.

 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Sample size:  Two Companies in Oil and Gas namely Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) is selected for financial statement analysis wherein capital structure, various ratios, cost of capital and the stock performance of the two companies are analysed.
Tools for Analysis:
Financial performance of the company can be analyzed by way of several techniques. For example, trend analysis from the financial statements is widely used to judge changes (upward movements or downward movements) in one piece of financial information over the years. The same way, ratio analysis is another instrument to analyze the financial performance of the company by comparing, dividing, or multiplying various financial yardsticks with each other in order to infer some meaningful and sometimes hidden fact concerning the financial performance of the company.

Sources of Data:
The literature and other references have a varied grade of reliability and validity.  Both primary and secondary data are used in the research.
 
Primary Data: Our primary data is mainly composed of information gained through the listing of the shares in BSE of the two companies BPCL and HPCL and the annual reports of the companies. Some data was collected through interviews to get general information about the subject and also to get knowledge about the newest reports.  Other data we applied are from some unpublished documents provided by related departments.
 
Secondary data used are journals (journal of risk, journal of banking and finance, reserve bank of India documents) and reports/conferences issued and held by IBA. The website www.banknetindia.com is our literature resource centre.  Since our research topic is limited to a fragmented field, we found it difficult to search for relevant information directly through books.
 
SCOPE OF THE STUDY:
Investment is not a difficult art if one can define and follow a winning strategy. This dissertation has helped in defining an investment model, which is devoid of some common errors that analysts make like considering PE ratio, Dividend Yield and Price to Book ratio. Though what is important is to stick by the strategy in Thick and Thin and adhere to the model in adverse market conditions.
 
Market Conditions may be a bearing on the price levels. However it has been observed that in the longer run stocks perform irrespective of the market environment and reach the price level justifiable by the growth that it can achieve.
EXPECTED CONTRIBUTION FROM THE STUDY:

 Financial statement analysis attempts to identify ex-post winners and losers on the basis of information in the financial statements that are not completely or perfectly impounded in prices. Ex-ante, it is unclear whether financial statement analysis will be effective for low BM firms, even if they are mispriced, for the following reasons. First, low BM firms tend to be growth stocks that attract the attention of sophisticated market intermediaries such as analysts and institutional investors. Second, such firms are likely to have many sources of disclosure other than financial statements. Third, the rapid growth in many low BM firms potentially makes current fundamentals less important than other non-financial measures. Counterbalancing this is the fact that many of these stocks may be overvalued in departure from their fundamentals because of the hype or excitement surrounding their recent strong stock market performance.  Further, while traditional fundamental analysis may have limited applicability for growth firms, other  information from the financial statements can be potentially useful.
 
In this paper, I use financial statement information to create signals relating to naïve extrapolation and conservatism and augment traditional fundamental analysis of earnings and cash flow profitability. I then test the ability of these growth oriented fundamentals to identify winners and losers in terms of ex-post stock returns.
 
LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY:
 
The study was confined only to the two key players in Oil and Gas Industry  in India.  A comparative study between all the companies in the petroleum sector could have made the study interesting. 

 If you want Dissertations, Thesis, Case Studies on Oil and Gas Industry in India, Research Proposals, Term Papers, Research Projects, Assignments, Coursework, PowerPoint Presentations and Synopsis, than contact Mahasagar Publications, Mumbai, India by calling +91 9819650213 or +91 8081344446  or visit website www.projectspapers.com

No comments:

Post a Comment