Friday 24 May 2013

Recent Trends in Real Estate Marketing in India



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The Indian real estate marketing scene was characterized by a lot of hectic activity during the last three years. Land value across the entire country—metropolitan cities and smaller towns—registered a phenomenal growth. Several factors encompassing market research, pricing, branding, advertising and promotion, coupled with web-based marketing, made a heady brew that resulted in soaring land and apartment prices in the recent past. This is a classic example of the integration of all the three ingredients—creating, communicating and delivering value—which mostly revolutionized the thinking of young professionals with a lot of expectations and earnings. These young professionals are the main customers behind the real estate boom.

Indeed, a consistent growth rate of 8-9% in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), along with increasing levels of income in the business and IT sectors, has led to the present situation. Not only the housing, but also the office, commercial and retail business, hotel rooms and mega stores including shopping malls and hyper markets are in this picture. Some estimates indicate that the market is poised to grow by over 30% during 2005-2010 and may reach a whopping $50 bn or Rs. 2,20,000 cr. About 20 million new housing units are likely to be created in the next five years. A fivefold increase in office space is also envisaged. Organized retail all over India will require 200 million sq.ft. by the end of 2010. Not only that, a great demand for at least 50,000 new hotel rooms in the next five years is emerging, and the hospitality sector looks forward to attaining the target.

Occupancy Costs
All this is familiar stuff for avid real estate watchers. However, what may be construed as a paradoxical situation, has now arisen when one looks at the demand growth across a few cities. Some experts believe that a sort of oversupply is detectable but at the same time there is no reduction in demand. This implies that all stakeholders—developers, investors, customers or those who occupy the property are affected. Keen observers of the scene desire the following aspects while examining the way in which metros are responding to the situations: the rentals are coming down in the outskirts like Whitefield in Bangalore where the supply is outstripping the demand, but increasing in locations such as Guindy in Chennai, Navi Mumbai and Salt Lake in Kolkata. An ‘overheating’ effect is perceived with greater demand and rise in rents when one considers Connaught Place and Gurgoan in Delhi, MG Road in Bangalore, Park Street in Kolkata, and Hitech city in Hyderabad. The rents remain stable in places like Noida (Delhi), Lower Parel (Mumbai), and Gachibowli (Hyderabad).

This has several implications for occupiers, developers and investors. In almost all the cities—Delhi NCR, Mumbai, Kolkata, Chennai, Bangalore, Hyderabad and Pune—high occupancy costs for companies (occupiers) have been noted. For developers, the situation looks dicey. They avoid the overheated markets as in Whitefield in Bangalore or they drift towards the suburban areas for residence on account of lower rents in the case of individual tenants and reduced costs for those who want to buy property. Fresh investments do not seem to be coming at the same rate as two years ago. The returns on investment for private equity players are not very attractive. There are, of course, minor variations across the cities considered earlier, but one thing is clear with the economy staying quite strong and the banks and other lending agencies willing to give money albeit at higher rates, there is no need for alarm.

Corporate Real Estate
In this context, the place of real estate in the corporate sector deserves greater attention. Actually, corporate real estate “includes real properties that house productive activities of a corporation and the primary business of the firm is not related to development, investment, management or financing of real estate assets”. It includes space for administrative and management functions and also for manufacturing, warehousing, selling/marketing and distribution activities. There is a section of opinion that corporate real estate is a ‘forgotten asset’ in the sense that its “manifold use and contributions to the well-being of the corporate organization are not recognized or given due recognition”. However, recent trends indicate corporate real estate is coming into its own.

In this context, the focus is on the entry mode of international developers—by themselves or in collaboration with their Indian counterparts. As can be expected, developers with good international track record manage to do well in this scenario. There can be no doubt that in a good stable economy like that of India, players with good credentials— Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj (JLLM) have made a comparative study of the rent and capital value growth of top-tier markets in India and China during the past three years. The study concludes that growth in India is not as high as in Tier-1 Chinese cities like Beijing and Shanghai. But, it must be noted that the Chinese have focused on the infrastructure development in a better way than India. Also, the Chinese have been following policies that promote foreign investments.

Land Acquisition
Land has become a valuable commodity in any country whether in the form of small holdings or large tracts. Real estate developers and investors find it difficult to purchase land at a reasonable price. Now, the emerging trend is to create townships with all amenities for residents. The question of acquiring large parcels of land has been agitating the minds of developers for some time in the past. Obviously, the developers must have strong financial muscle to buy land for mega projects such as townships and huge apartment complexes. But, acquiring, say, 100 acres of land is not easy due to fragmentation, which resulted in many people in the contemplated project area owning it. Usually, it is agricultural land with several owners in possession of the land. The Urban Land Ceiling Act has made the process even more difficult. There is also the danger of political interference through government intervention. In some places, the farmers get together and form cooperatives—in Pune for instance nine such cooperatives have come up.

Another significant point to be noted here is—the developer must care about the area adjoining the project designed for luxurious villas or apartment complexes. Otherwise, socioeconomic disparities will create tension. The infrastructure in the villages around the developed apartment complexes must be improved and the builder must earmark a portion of his budget for this purpose. The real estate marketers have to lay stress on this aspect also. “When you are spending $1 bn or Rs. 4000 cr on a huge construction project, then you have to spend Rs. 4 cr on the infrastructure of the gram panchayat which was the original owner of the land”, says Aniruddha Deshpande, Managing Director, City Corporation Ltd. In his opinion, townships in India will become factories producing houses which will “bring down the developers’ margins from obscene highs”. The problem faced by people residing in poor conditions outside a luxurious township is not due to financial disparity but it is on account of the ‘infrastructure divide’.

Indeed, the key drivers in the growth of real estate marketing in India are Information Technology (IT Parks/Offices/Campus), the purchasing power and propensity to spend by the middle class (close to 200 mn) in the context of a young demographic profile (shopping centers, mega stores and malls), and reduction in housing mortgage rates (housing/residential). One may also add to this list—increased tourist arrivals and business travelers (real estate impact relates to hotels and serviced apartments), and a revival on manufacturing activities of varied enterprises (the impact is on industry, logistics and warehousing).

Global Majors in the Real Estate Market in India
According to a study by the Consultants JLLM, foreign investment to the tune of $10 bn will be injected into the Indian real estate market during the next 12 to 18 months. International companies like ‘Ayala’ of the Phillipines, and ‘Signature’ from Dubai have indicated their interest in entering the field. Also, on the cards are sizable Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) flows from Malaysia followed by the US, UK, Israel and Singapore. Stemon Group is a Dubai-based real estate firm which has stepped into Mumbai’s booming real estate with Rs. 1200 cr huge project of Mumbai-Pune express highway near the proposed new Mumbai International Airport. Sternon has customers in 28 countries and is marketing this project with vigor in overseas markets including the Gulf. There is also a marketing tie-up with Garnet Construction Ltd., a publicly trading Indian real estate developer.

According to industry sources, over 90 foreign investors are already in India tapping avenues for investment. Nearly two dozen US Funds raising a huge $3.5 bn for investment in Indian realty have been identified. These include Wall Street powerhouses like Blackstone Group, Morgan Stanley and Merill Lynch. In mid-2007, Morgan Stanley closed a deal worth $150 mn with Oberoi Constructions in Mumbai. The Natsheel Group in Dubai entered into a deal worth $10 bn with DLF for residential projects in Tier-1 and Tier-2 cities. Similarly, California Public Employees Retirement System entered India, investing $100 mn in a real estate fund promoted by IL and FS Ascendas.

How is it that there is such an avalanche of projects in the country? The main reason is the change in policies by the Union Government early in 2005, allowing 100% foreign investment in construction projects with fast track approvals. In fact, the major attraction for the foreign investors is the potential investment returns of 25% and more in Indian projects, very hard to come by in the US and European markets. Significantly enough, FDI in real estate has grown from $200 mn in FY 2002 to $3900 mn in FY 2007 (nearly 20 times). The international developers and investors collaborate with their Indian counterparts as joint venture partners.

Resale Property Market
Another interesting aspect is that the resale property market is also flourishing. Already, Bangalore has hosted an exhibition on this. According to the CEO of the Marketing Process Outsourcing Company, such exhibitions are common in the West, and ‘Popmart Technologies’, a corporate entity, will organize these in five major cities and this will be later taken to other Tier-2 cities. The property buyers will benefit since there are several options for them. In fact, the resale units in major cities accounted for over 30% of the total residential property transactions. Again, the advantage in such expos is that property buyers and sellers meet on a common platform, and the direct dealings are bound to be transparent. The list of good properties on show will be certified by Popmart and HDFC.

IT Parks, Multiplexes and Megamalls
The growth of Information Technology (IT), Business Process Outsourcing (BPO), and Information Technology Enabled Services (ITES) in India has created a strong demand for creating assets in the shape of IT Parks. In fact, this process has also led to the building of multiplexes and malls to satisfy the shopping and recreation needs of a large number of software professionals. The trend is seen in cities like Bangalore, Mumbai, Delhi, Hyderabad, Chennai, Pune and Kolkata. The major portion of the development is taking place in the suburban fringe locations. The malls and multiplex businesses have been on a growth path, thanks to the demand from consumers for quality shopping in a good ambience with entertainment facilities.

In this scenario, the spotlight is on the need to integrate foreign talents (who are undoubtedly rich in experience in the construction of multiplexes and megamalls) with the local talents who are familiar with the local ethos. Out of the 30,000 architects in India, nearly 80% are based in large cities. The impending large-scale FDI participation in the Indian real estate has spurned the council of architects to take note of the challenges ahead. Big international companies like Metrocorp and Jurong Consultants have been active in the construction of giant IT Parks in cities like Bangalore and Hyderabad. Another company, DLF is reported to have secured the contract for building Bidadi Hi-tech city near Bangalore. Thus another aspect of globalization becomes evident. However, the possibility of the local Indian developers losing quotations when global tenders are floated exists.

Conclusion
A notable feature in the real estate scene is that Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities are also getting attention. Market researchers are led to wonder how long the boom would last. Though the increase in interest rates for housing loans led to a plateau level of stagnation, there is not much appreciable fall in the apartment prices. On account of the current sound economy, it is somewhat hypothetical to speculate whether the bubble will burst.

In a milieu, where sales campaigns and marketing strategies are increasingly acquiring a sharper edge, the buyers are overwhelmed by glossy brochures. The average age of house buyers has come down in the last few years—from about 55 years to 32-38 years. This fact is highlighted in an analysis by the Associated Chambers of Commerce and Industry of India (ASSOCHAM) on the trends for buying dwelling units for self-use. What are the factors that contribute to this trend? Obviously, they are the high rentals, non-sustainable lease agreements between property owners and tenants, rising income levels, and the easy availability of finances.

Another significant development is the growing volume of opinions that property is not nowadays considered as the only option while making investments. Whereas property (land or house) is the most liquid asset, this is not so in the case of property stocks. With a PAN card, demat and trading account, buying and selling the stocks becomes simple. A number of realty companies have listed themselves on the bourses, and Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are buying into these stocks, mainly because of the strong domestic economy in India. For an individual investor, buying shares in a property company enables the former to enjoy the benefits of uptrend in other cities. But, plenty of volatility in the portfolios can be expected. 


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